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Table 5 Outbreaks’ simulation system parameters

From: Prevalence of current patterns and predictive trends of multidrug-resistant Salmonella Typhi in Sudan

Description

Parameter

Estimated value

Simulated value

Units

Initial population

N0

y = n ex

1.0000

Cell/mL

Bacteria replication time

t

(t > 0)

30

min

Bacterial replication rate

r

ln x(+a)

100

 

Mortality of bacteria

m

ln x(−b)

25

 

Probability to resist antibiotics

∆

 

2.00

 

Antibiotics influence dose

α

C16, C32

2.0 and 5.0

µg/mL

Final population

Nt

ln x(a−b)

2.99573

Cell/mL

Resisted individuals (survived)

N

ln (x)

12

 

Prediction of outbreaks

E

 

− 13.00%

Â