Derivation Cohort (AHMC) | Validation Cohort (DMC) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variable | ESBL, N (%) (N = 285) | CRE, N (%) (N = 58) | OR (95 % CI); p-value | AOR a (95 % C.I.); p-value | Score | ESBL, N (%) (N = 166) | CRE, N (%) (N = 16) |
Male gender | 169 (59) | 29 (50) | 0.69 (0.39, 1.21); 0.19 | 91 (55) | 7 (44) | ||
Age <65 years | 47 (17) | 16 (28) | 1.9 (1.00, 3.71) 0.05 | 1.8 (0.81, 3.92); 0.16 | 6 | 78 (47) | 5 (31) |
LTCF residencyb | 107 (38) | 14 (25) | 0.53 (0.28, 1.02); 0.06 | 96 (58) | 13 (81) | ||
Recent (3 months) hospitalization or LTCF stay | 241 (85) | 45 (78) | 0.63 (0.32, 1.27); 0.20 | 100 (60) | 14 (88) | ||
Chronic hemodialysis | 15 (5) | 4 (7) | 1.17 (0.40, 3.40); 0.78 | 33 (20) | 5 (31) | ||
Deteriorated functional status at admission | 223 (79) | 37 (67) | 0.56 (0.30, 1.06); 0.07 | 105 (63) | 14 (88) | ||
Congestive heart failure | 86 (31) | 15 (26) | 0.80 (0.42, 1.51); 0.48 | 63 (38) | 8 (50) | ||
Diabetes mellitus | 115 (40) | 22 (38) | 0.90 (0.51, 1.61); 0.73 | 86 (52) | 13 (81) | ||
Chronic renal failurec | 97 (34) | 15 (26) | 0.66 (0.35, 1.25); 0.21 | 68 (41) | 10 (63) | ||
No PVDd | 218 (77) | 50 (86) | 1.8 (0.83, 4.07); 0.14 | 2.7 (1.06, 7.02); 0.04 | 10 | 134 (81) | 13 (81) |
Any neurological disease (including past cerebral events) | 157 (55) | 27 (47) | 0.7 (0.4, 1.3; 0.2 | 68 (41) | 12 (75) | ||
Past or present (active) malignancy | 62 (22) | 14 (25) | 1.2 (0.6, 2.2; 0.7 | 32 (19) | 2 (13) | ||
Hemiplegia or paraplegia | 49 (17) | 12 (21) | 1.27 (0.63, 2.58); 0.50 | 25 (15) | 7 (44) | ||
Chemotherapy in the past 3 months | 7 (2) | 6 (10) | 4.53 (1.46, 14.0); 0.009 | 6.8 (1.9–24.7); 0.003 | 19 | 5 (3) | 1 (6) |
Immunosuppressione | 51 (18) | 17 (29) | 1.88 (0.99, 3.57); 0.05 | 28 (17) | 5 (31) | ||
Any use of antibiotics in the preceding 3 months | 214 (77) | 52 (90) | 2.6 (1.1, 6.4); 0.03 | 112 (68) | 14 (88) | ||
Recent (6 months) invasive proceduref | 120 (43) | 33 (59) | 1.9 (1.1, 3.4); 0.03 | 12 (86) | 15 (100) | ||
Intensive care unit stay at infection onset | 151 (53) | 39 (67) | 1.82 (1.00, 3.30); 0.05 | 67 (40) | 10 (63) | ||
Permanent foreign invasive devicesg | 145 (52) | 44 (77) | 3.17 (1.64, 6.15); 0.001 | 2.5 (1.2–5.2); 0.02 | 10 | 115 (70) | 13 (81) |
Reduced consciousness and/or cognition at time of acute illness | 151 (53) | 40 (73) | 2.33 (1.23, 4.41); 0.009 | 2.5 (1.1–5.6); 0.02 | 9 | 100 (60) | 13 (81) |
Severe sepsis / septic shock / multiorgan failure at culture date | 133 (48) | 36 (66) | 2.1 (1.1, 3.8); 0.02 | 43 (26) | 4 (29) | ||
Length of hospital stay at BSIh onset >3 days | 134 (47) | 44 (76) | 2.85 (1.49, 5.43); 0.001 | 1.9 (0.9–4); 0.08 | 7 | 61 (37) | 11 (73) |